Sunday, April 26, 2009

Great Depression Revisionism of a Different Sort?

Strategies - The Road Back From the ’29 Crash Wasn’t So Long, After All - NYTimes.com
But a careful analysis of the record shows that the picture is more complex and, ultimately, far less daunting: An investor who invested a lump sum in the average stock at the market’s 1929 high would have been back to a break-even by late 1936 — less than four and a half years after the mid-1932 market low.

How can this be? Three factors have obscured this truth from investors: deflation, dividends and the distinction between the Dow Jones industrial average and the overall stock market.


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